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Possible Solutions for DoorDash’s Business Model All four companies are in a bidding war to see who can shoot themselves in the foot the most before the other three bleed out.
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DoorDash will ultimately have to raise its prices in order to produce a profit, but because it competes for customers with Uber Eats, GrubHub, Postmates, etc, without any noticeable service differentiation, raising prices is difficult. The fundamental problem with DoorDash’s business model is that labor is too expensive to produce a profit at the prices DoorDash charges consumers. As of Q1 2023, the company has sufficient cash and no debt. The operating margins are not quite as good and currently hover in the mid-teens and will be more difficult to turn positive due to the structural nature of changes needed to be made in order to achieve this goal.Īlso, while not included to prevent cluttering this article with huge tables, the company's current and historical balance sheets have been healthy.
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As the company grows, I would not be surprised if gross margins improve due to better efficiency. It makes sense because DoorDash is providing neither the ingredients for the food nor the transportation for the worker. The FinancialsĭoorDash Historical Income Statements (TIKR) Note: One interesting side note is that the same phenomena occurs in bond ownership – the longer the duration, the more sensitive its value is to a change in interest rates. Simply focusing on top line growth in a higher rate environment, (but also, any environment) is an insufficient bull thesis for share appreciation. DoorDash’s sales are irrelevant without some prospect of bottom-line profitability. The further cash flows are pushed into the future, the less they are worth today when rates are increasing. This methodology, flawed as it is even when rates are low, becomes even more problematic when rates rise. This popular methodology of “valuing” companies based on sales is typical in a low interest rate environment where investors happily put off the bottom line if it will be higher in the future. Many analysts point to the increased revenue derived from these expansions as a point of strength and catalyst for the stock price. Much of the bull case for DoorDash is centered around its expansion into grocery delivery and international markets.
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